Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-01 0.193375 0.224348 0.258704 0.299644 0.347117 0.400453 0.464959
2025-06-08 0.143265 0.184209 0.234471 0.300746 0.385929 0.491867 0.633865
2025-06-15 0.118425 0.163362 0.222488 0.306053 0.421317 0.575024 0.796162
2025-06-22 0.097829 0.142903 0.205655 0.299512 0.436650 0.630252 0.925389
2025-06-29 0.083706 0.128485 0.193948 0.296784 0.454742 0.689037 1.064635
2025-07-06 0.073846 0.118488 0.186668 0.298582 0.478357 0.757096 1.224578
2025-07-13 0.068615 0.114654 0.187839 0.312906 0.522232 0.860254 1.451165
2025-07-20 0.063397 0.109984 0.186833 0.323150 0.560144 0.957531 1.679444
2025-07-27 0.058791 0.105635 0.185627 0.332556 0.597254 1.057021 1.922904
2025-08-03 0.053757 0.099826 0.181096 0.335353 0.622719 1.138707 2.144033
2025-08-10 0.048420 0.092762 0.173427 0.331363 0.635058 1.197770 2.329976
2025-08-17 0.042910 0.084672 0.162895 0.320634 0.633222 1.229973 2.467977
2025-08-24 0.040266 0.081865 0.162113 0.328834 0.669441 1.339631 2.773743
2025-08-31 0.037066 0.077576 0.157991 0.329967 0.691862 1.425154 3.042293
2025-09-07 0.034719 0.074716 0.156329 0.335796 0.724362 1.534262 3.372943
2025-09-14 0.031386 0.069366 0.148929 0.328614 0.728399 1.584535 3.582979
2025-09-21 0.028800 0.065314 0.143778 0.325619 0.741028 1.654263 3.844279
2025-09-28 0.026890 0.062530 0.141034 0.327593 0.764868 1.751013 4.178782
2025-10-05 0.026192 0.062421 0.144180 0.343320 0.821993 1.928865 4.725015
2025-10-12 0.025198 0.061497 0.145362 0.354566 0.869871 2.090732 5.252978
2025-10-19 0.024202 0.060449 0.146132 0.364894 0.916711 2.255363 5.808282
2025-10-26 0.022826 0.058306 0.144052 0.367965 0.945962 2.380657 6.279690
2025-11-02 0.021137 0.055178 0.139234 0.363584 0.955822 2.458965 6.639001